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USDCHF Weekly Forex Forecast – 8th to 12th Oct 2018
Fundamentals Outlook
Economic data next week takes a breather after a rather busy first week. Most of the reports are second tier data and unlikely to move the markets to a bigger extent. Data includes German import prices and industrial production numbers. Economic data from Japan and Switzerland are relatively quiet. No major releases are scheduled for the week ahead. In the U.S. the monthly inflation reports will be coming out. This also includes the final inflation figures from the Eurozone as well. Given that inflation eased as per the flash estimates, we could expect a reaction on a final reading in inflation. The flows in the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen will also be set by the general market sentiment over the week.
Chart set up:
The USDCHF currency pair advanced strongly over the week. Price action posted a reversal just a few pips shy from the next main resistance level of 0.9967 by Friday’s close. This came following the bearish engulfing pattern on the 4-hour chart.
Key support/resistance levels:
Support: 0.9803; Resistance: 0.9967
Commentary:
The USDCHF currency pair continued to maintain the momentum as price action inched closer to the next main resistance level. With the 4-hour Stochastic oscillator strongly in the overbought level, we expect to see a short term correction in prices. However, the trend remains to the upside and a possible correction to eventually push USDCHF to test the resistance level eventually. A reversal is expected near the resistance level which could push the currency pair to test the support level. For the week ahead, USDCHF is expected to be slightly bearish.
The post USDCHF Weekly Forex Forecast – 8th to 12th Oct 2018 appeared first on Advanced Forex Strategies.
USDJPY Weekly Forex Forecast – 8th to 12th Oct 2018
Fundamentals Outlook
Economic data next week takes a breather after a rather busy first week. Most of the reports are second tier data and unlikely to move the markets to a bigger extent. Data includes German import prices and industrial production numbers. Economic data from Japan and Switzerland are relatively quiet. No major releases are scheduled for the week ahead. In the U.S. the monthly inflation reports will be coming out. This also includes the final inflation figures from the Eurozone as well. Given that inflation eased as per the flash estimates, we could expect a reaction on a final reading in inflation. The flows in the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen will also be set by the general market sentiment over the week.
Chart set up:
The USDJPY currency pair continued to post strong gains as price action breached past the resistance level of 113.58. The U.S. dollar also quickly posted a rebound to establish support at the newly breached resistance level by Friday’s close.
Key support/resistance levels:
Support: 113.58; Resistance: 114.73
Commentary:
The USDJPY was seen closing at fresh monthly highs last week. The gains came on a strong U.S. dollar and a risk on sentiment in the market. However, from the weekly charts, the USDJPY is seen closing with a doji candlestick pattern. This could signal a possible pause to the rally. A bearish follow through could mean a correction in the making. In the short term, the support at 113.58 remains critical. As long as this support holds, we could expect to see some more gains. However, the momentum looks to be easing. As a result, a break down below the support could trigger further declines. For the week ahead, the USDJPY currency pair is expected to be bearish.
The post USDJPY Weekly Forex Forecast – 8th to 12th Oct 2018 appeared first on Advanced Forex Strategies.