
CoinDesk offers a high-level overview of the coming Segwit2x fork, how it differs from the hard forks before it and what it might mean for bitcoin.
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The Fed meeting in November was never expected to provide ground-breaking news. The FOMC does not make statements without an accompanying press conference and the dot plot, even though they insist that every meeting is a live one. However, this meeting could cement the decision to raise rates. In the unlikely event that they do [...]
The post Fed: 4 reasons to cement the hike, one reason to send the dollar down appeared first on Forex Crunch.
The pound is facing a rate hike for the first time since the crisis. And the big question is: what’s next? Here is the view from ING: Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: ING FX Strategy Research discusses GBP/USD outlook ahead of the BoE November policy meeting on Thursday. “BoE officials will need to [...]
The post GBP/USD: ‘Gotta Have Faith’ To Go Long Sterling On ‘Carney Put’ – ING appeared first on Forex Crunch.
More good news from the US: consumers were more confident in October according to the CB Consumer Confidence: a score of 125.9 points. September’s score was revised up to 120.6. The US dollar is slightly higher, but the moves are not huge. There are bigger events this week. The Conference Board’s consumer confidence measure for October [...]
The post US CB Consumer Confidence beats with 125.9 – USD ticks higher appeared first on Forex Crunch.
A disappointing read from Canada: the economy shrank in August by 0.1%. In addition, producer prices are down 0.3% against +0.4% predicted. USD/CAD jumps above 1.29 from 1.2840 ahead of the publication. The Canadian dollar remains under intense pressure. More: USD/CAD: 4 Reasons To Sell The Loonie – CIBC Canada was expected to report a minor [...]
The post Canadian GDP falls 0.1% – CAD follows appeared first on Forex Crunch.
Mixed data from the euro-zone: strong growth but weak inflation, similar to other regions in the world. GDP is up 0.6% in Q3 2017, better than 0.5% expected and on top of an upward revision for Q2: 0.7%. The unemployment rate is down to 8.9%, also beyond expectations. However, inflation came out below expectations: 1.4% [...]
The post Euro zone GDP beats with 0.6%, but inflation slips to 1.4% appeared first on Forex Crunch.
EUR/USD is trading around 1.1640 after bouncing off the lows of 1.1575. The pair has licked its wounds related to the Draghi’s open door for further bond buying beyond September 2018. It is not spooked by Halloween. Support awaits at the 2016 high of 1.1620 and resistance is at 1.1670. Further resistance is only at [...]
The post EUR/USD not spooked amid French GDP, Catalan news appeared first on Forex Crunch.
"As of January 1, 2018, the act of issuing, using, or using illegal means of payment (including Bitcoin and other similar virtual currency) may be subject to prosecution," the notice reads.
Summary: BoC holds interest rates steady at 1.0% as widely expected Central bank flags uncertainties that include inflation and NAFTA Odds for a December rate hike falls below 50% following the BoC decision from 80% previously BoC cites exchange rate appreciation could weigh on exports BoC forecasts weaker pace of growth. Q4 GDP expected at [...]
The post Bank of Canada holds fire. Odds for December rate hike fall appeared first on Forex Crunch.
The Core PCE Price Index remains at 1.3% as expected. It remains within a significant distance of the 2% target. Inflation remains weak while employment looks good. This has been the same story for quite some time. Will it matter? Janet Yellen and her colleagues are set to raise rates in December, no matter what. [...]
The post Fed’s favorite inflation measure stuck at 1.3% – will it matter? appeared first on Forex Crunch.
Special Counsel Robert Mueller has asked Paul Manafort, Trump’s ex-campaign manager, to surrender. he will be charged alongside Rick Gates, which was a business associate. Mueller is investigating the influence of Russia on the 2016 elections. Manafort had reportedly had ties to Russia and other countries in the region. His house was raided by Mueller’s [...]
The post Trump’s exp-campaign manager Manafort asked to surrender appeared first on Forex Crunch.
EUR/USD is already trading some 60 pips off the lows. The world’s most popular currency pair enjoys a trade balance surplus which makes it naturally bid. But that’s not the only reason. There is growing speculation that the next Chair of the Federal Reserve will be Jerome Powell. Powell is one of the few governors [...]
The post EUR/USD recovers on dollar weakness, some Catalan calm appeared first on Forex Crunch.
EUR/USD suffered a relatively dovish Draghi as well as speculation about a hawkish head of the Fed. Does the pair have more room to fall? Here are two opinions: Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: EUR/USD: Looking To Set Strategic Longs Near 1.15 On A Deeper Correction – SocGen Societe Generale Cross Asset Strategy [...]
The post Is EUR/USD set to fall towards 1.15? appeared first on Forex Crunch.
Monthly Forex News Events that Might Affect EURUSD Volatility – Nov 2017
The EURUSD rally has finally seen a pullback as the big psychological number 1.2000 has proven to provide a good catalyst for the bullish trend to take a pause. The main driver behind the EURUSD pullback was the grown speculations that the Fed might proceed forward and hike rates one more time until the 2017 end. The market has been speculating that the ECB will announce this autumn the tapering process of the 2.3 trillion euro bond buying program, but the ECB rhetoric has failed to gain traction behind this market theme.
The market focus is now shifting to a new month – November which can provide us with plenty of fundamental drivers that can impact the market volatility and the EURUSD exchange rate. The November economic calendar has scheduled plenty risk events that can be the catalyst for some volatility. Both the ECB and the Fed have important interest rates and monetary policy announcements. The Fed has one of the last chances to signal its willingness to hike one more time until the end of the year.
The Fed funds rate is only projecting rates to hike in December but we can still see the dollar getting traction in anticipation of higher interest rates. The November seasonal pattern sees the EURUSD exchange rate slowly drifting lower and its possible the current retracement to have more legs to the downside if the fundamentals support the bearish case.
The seasonal pattern only gives us the tendency of a particular currency to exhibit a certain behavior at a certain time, so we have to carefully monitor the pattern and how the fundamental forces interact with the price action. Going forward, we’re going to analyze and disseminate the major news event for the upcoming month that can be the catalyst for higher EURUSD volatility.
“Don’t risk significant money in front of key reports, since that is gambling not trading.” Paul Tudor Jones
The Catalan independence issue has failed so far to provide us with a market theme that can drive the currency exchange rate in a significant manner. Spain is already facing one of the most severe constitutional crises and as soon as the other market participants start to recognize this, expects the market to also pay attention.
As long as the EURUSD exchange stays below the big round number 1.2000, it’s not wrong to expect the bearish momentum to continue to dominate during the coming month. We have plenty of risk events that have the potential to set the stage for big movements in the Forex market and here are the most notable ones:
The post Monthly Forex News Events that Might Affect EURUSD Volatility – Nov 2017 appeared first on Advanced Forex Strategies.
EURUSD had a strong bearish week. The next week might be very volatile since there are some high impact news events to take place. Let us have a look at those news events.
It often sweeps away intraday stop losses by producing long spikes on the intraday charts.
Usually, it produces some excellent trading opportunities. Those opportunities can be found; once the market is settled.
This is another news event, which produces volatility on the intraday charts.
It does not always create huge volatility, but it could make the pair be extremely volatile. EURUSD traders should be careful with their intraday floating positions before this news event.
Surely, the EURUSD is going to be extremely volatile for these two news events. Needless to say that major time frame traders will use the volatility to take their entries.
Intraday traders should come out with their opened positions before this news event.
No doubt, this would be an extremely volatile day for the EURUSD traders. Major time frame traders will be eagerly waiting to see which it goes since they might use these news event to take the best entry of the month.
Might not be that volatile, but intraday charts could end up having some long spikes for this news event.
The post Weekly Forex News Events for EURUSD – 30th Oct to 3rd Nov 2017 appeared first on Advanced Forex Strategies.